While both clubs can afford to push for all three points given their respective league positions, the two managers will also be wary of what a defeat could mean for their future. With that in mind, we feel that a competitive, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
