While Stoke will be wary of letting Middlesbrough back into the promotion race, there is also an opportunity to establish further distance between themselves and the chasing pack. With that in mind, we are backing the Potters to show an extra cutting edge in the final third to claim a hard-fought victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
