MX23RW : Sunday, February 5 03:26:03
SM
Milan derby: 16 hrs 18 mins
Feb 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at bet365 Stadium
Stoke
1 - 2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')

We said: Stoke City 1-0 Luton Town

Although Luton are enjoying a positive run of form, they tend to struggle against the Potters, with Stoke winning four of the last five meetings between the sides, and we think that the hosts will edge out the Hatters in a cagey contest on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
44.49%27.42%28.1%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36%78.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09%60.92%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68%36.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.11%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.49%
    Luton Town 28.1%
    Draw 27.41%
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 28.1%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley29198258263265
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29177548242458
3Middlesbrough29136104435945
4Luton TownLuton2812973629745
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2912893930944
6Watford2912893431344
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn28141133135-443
8Norwich CityNorwich29126114034642
9Millwall2712693327642
10Sunderland2811894132941
11Preston North EndPreston28117102631-540
12Swansea CitySwansea2810994038239
13Coventry CityCoventry29108113132-138
14Queens Park RangersQPR29108113137-638
15Hull City29107123644-837
16Reading28114133142-1137
17Bristol City2889113738-133
18Stoke CityStoke2896133337-433
19Birmingham CityBirmingham2888123035-532
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham29711113340-732
21Cardiff CityCardiff2978142132-1129
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield2775152535-1026
23Blackpool2768132840-1226
24Wigan AthleticWigan2867152749-2225
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