Reading are gradually building momentum and edging ever closer to safety, so we think that they will get another important three points on the board at home. Cardiff have very little to play for and will be shaken by their derby defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
