Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
