MX23RW : Thursday, June 23 22:10:33
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Thursday, June 23
Sep 12, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at City Ground
Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Cardiff
Grabban (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Colwill (58', 73')
Vaulks (33'), Ng (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCardiff City
24%27.81%48.18%
Both teams to score 43.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41%61.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56%81.43%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05%41.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61%78.39%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25%25.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31%60.69%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 24%
    Cardiff City 48.17%
    Draw 27.81%
Nottingham ForestDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-0 @ 1.18%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 14.65%
0-2 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-3 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.53%
1-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2%
Total : 48.17%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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3Huddersfield TownHuddersfield4623131064471782
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd4621121363451875
6Luton TownLuton462112136355875
7Middlesbrough462010165950970
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn461912155950969
9Millwall461815135345869
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
12Coventry CityCoventry461713166059164
13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
14Stoke CityStoke461711185752562
15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
16Blackpool461612185458-460
17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajaccio00000000
2Angers00000000
3Auxerre00000000
4Brest00000000
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7Lille00000000
8Lorient00000000
9MonacoMonaco00000000
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier00000000
11NantesNantes00000000
12Nice00000000
13Lyon00000000
14Marseille00000000
15Paris Saint-GermainPSG00000000
16Reims00000000
17Rennes00000000
18StrasbourgStrasbourg00000000
19Toulouse00000000
20Troyes00000000
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