Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
