Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
