MX23RW : Wednesday, February 1 00:43:47
SM
Wednesday, February 1
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK at Kenilworth Road
Luton
1 - 2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Both Luton and Cardiff head into this contest after failing to score in midweek, however we can see the two sides finding the net on Saturday. The Hatters have struggled in recent seasons against the Bluebirds, but having impressed more so than their Welsh counterparts in the Championship so far this season, they should be strong enough to claim at least a point on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
38.81%28.14%33.06%
Both teams to score 47.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55%79.45%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22%69.78%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.8%
    Cardiff City 33.05%
    Draw 28.13%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.05%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley28188255262962
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28176548242457
3Middlesbrough29136104435945
4Luton TownLuton2812973629745
5Watford2912893431344
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28141133135-443
7Norwich CityNorwich28126104031942
8Millwall2712693327642
9Sunderland2811894132941
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2811893830841
11Preston North EndPreston28117102631-540
12Swansea CitySwansea2810994038239
13Coventry CityCoventry28108103131038
14Queens Park RangersQPR29108113137-638
15Hull City29107123644-837
16Reading28114133142-1137
17Bristol City2889113738-133
18Stoke CityStoke2896133337-433
19Birmingham CityBirmingham2888123035-532
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham28710113340-731
21Cardiff CityCardiff2978142132-1129
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield2775152535-1026
23Blackpool2768132840-1226
24Wigan AthleticWigan2867152749-2225
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