MX23RW : Thursday, June 23 19:57:49
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawMiddlesbrough
30.98%27.58%41.43%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16%33.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.51%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 30.98%
    Middlesbrough 41.43%
    Draw 27.58%
Derby CountyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 11.99%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.43%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFulham4627910106436390
3Huddersfield TownHuddersfield4623131064471782
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd4621121363451875
6Luton TownLuton462112136355875
7Middlesbrough462010165950970
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn461912155950969
9Millwall461815135345869
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
12Coventry CityCoventry461713166059164
13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
14Stoke CityStoke461711185752562
15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
16Blackpool461612185458-460
17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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