MX23RW : Thursday, June 23 20:00:25
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Jan 30, 2022 at 1.30pm UK at Pride Park
Derby
2 - 2
Birmingham
Plange (87'), Bielik (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (7'), Hogan (56')
Woods (62'), Etheridge (63'), Gardner (70'), James (89')

We said: Derby County 2-1 Birmingham City

There will be a part of Bowyer's thinking where he considers a draw to be a good result from this contest. However, Blues are facing a side which will push hard for all three points, and that extra desire may serve the Rams well in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
38.16%28.53%33.31%
Both teams to score 46.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.66%60.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5%80.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.81%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 38.16%
    Birmingham City 33.3%
    Draw 28.52%
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.3%

Read more!
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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFulham4627910106436390
3Huddersfield TownHuddersfield4623131064471782
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd4621121363451875
6Luton TownLuton462112136355875
7Middlesbrough462010165950970
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn461912155950969
9Millwall461815135345869
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
12Coventry CityCoventry461713166059164
13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
14Stoke CityStoke461711185752562
15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
16Blackpool461612185458-460
17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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