Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
