Blackpool have won 10 of their 21 home Championship matches this season, while Birmingham have been victorious in just four of their 21 games on their travels. We are not expecting a particularly entertaining contest on Monday but believe that the home side will have enough to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
