We said: Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 Sevilla
It is remarkable to see this incredibly youthful Salzburg side in with a shot of making the last-16, but Sevilla's greater experience in high-pressure situations such as this could prove invaluable.
The visitors are dealing with some major injury blows in attack and have developed an affinity for Champions League stalemates on the road, but the defensive nous of Diego Carlos and Jules Kounde should help them march on to the knockout rounds.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.
