Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.