Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
