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We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk

Encounters between Inter and Shakhtar have recently seen little goalmouth action; however, with both sides needing to claim a victory in their penultimate Group D match, we may see a less cagey affair on Wednesday. The two sides have impressed domestically so far this season, though Inter have looked stronger in the Champions League and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a narrow victory at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawShakhtar Donetsk
62.62%22.45%14.93%
Both teams to score 43.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76%53.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.79%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49%16.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75%46.25%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.46%47.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.11%82.89%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 62.61%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 14.93%
    Draw 22.45%
Inter MilanDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 14.13%
2-0 @ 12.73%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.95%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 62.61%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.93%

Read more!
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