MX23RW : Wednesday, July 27 19:23:26
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Wednesday, July 27
Nov 23, 2021 at 5.45pm UK at Olimpisky National Sports Complex
Dynamo Kiev
1 - 2
Bayern
Harmash (70')
Shaparenko (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lewandowski (14'), Coman (42')
Sarr (52')

We said: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Bayern Munich

Dynamo will hope to experience some long-awaited joy in front of goal against a depleted Bayern defence, but their lack of firepower in Europe is set to cost them dear. Nagelsmann will not accept a hint of complacency from his side as they endeavour to seal top spot in the group, so we can only back a near full-strength Bayern to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawBayern Munich
14.32%21.78%63.89%
Both teams to score 44.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2%51.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44%73.56%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09%82.91%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41%15.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44%44.56%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 14.32%
    Bayern Munich 63.88%
    Draw 21.78%
Dynamo KievDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-1 @ 3.81%
2-0 @ 2.05%
3-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.32%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 13.77%
0-2 @ 12.8%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 5.9%
0-4 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-5 @ 1.37%
1-5 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 63.88%

Read more!
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