Despite the gap between these sides in the table, we believe this will be a tight encounter on Saturday.
The hosts only have a couple of days to recover from their Champions League decider in midweek, compared to a full week from their visitors, but despite this, as well as their poor run of form, we are predicting a narrow home victory for them here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
