Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.