With Bochum enjoying a strong home record in the Bundesliga this season, and Augsburg struggling on their travels, we can see the hosts coming out with a narrow victory on Sunday.
It is likely to be a tight encounter between two evenly-matched sides, but Bochum should manage to edge out their visitors to confirm the extension of their stay in the top flight for another season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
