Stuttgart's dreadful run of form, and Bochum's high level of confidence following last weekend, mean we cannot see the hosts picking up a vital three points on Saturday.
The visitors would be pleased with a point, so we can see them putting in a stubborn display to come away level at the Mercedes Benz Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
