As was the case in midweek, we can see Leipzig coming out on top here against a visiting Union side that lacks the same quality and intensity when playing on the road.
The late winner on Wednesday is sure to give the hosts a huge psychological advantage over their opponents too, and with the excellent form that they find themselves in during 2022, it is difficult to see many being able to stop them extending their unbeaten run.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
