Although the hosts are missing a few first-team players, as well as their manager, through COVID-19, we can see them continuing their fine home form by recording a win in this intriguing clash on Sunday.
There has not been more than two goals scored in any of the last four meetings between the sides, but we are predicting an entertaining encounter containing a few goals at the Red Bull Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
