Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
