Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
