Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
