Koln's unbeaten home record, coupled with Augsburg's troubles on the road this campaign, mean we are predicting a win for the hosts on Friday evening.
Baumgart's men have impressed so far this season and they would be expected to see off their relegation threatened opponents in this one with relative ease.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
