Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.