This clash is likely to be a very tight affair overall, with little to separate these two sides despite their differing fortunes this campaign.
With Freiburg returning home and possessing the greater consistency this season, we believe they will edge out their visitors with a narrow victory on Saturday should they maintain their high standards of 2021-22.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
