Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.