Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
