Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
