Given Augsburg's form and most recent win against Bayern, they will fancy their chances at the Allianz Arena, and another victory this weekend would all but secure their Bundesliga status.
However, the hosts will be fired up to not only bounce back from their midweek defeat, but to also get revenge against Die Fuggerstadter, and Nagelsmann's men should have all the resources to claim maximum points on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 91.68%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 2.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.63%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.89%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (0.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
