Both sides will be looking to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Mainz having an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, while Augsburg will be keen to move further away from the relegation zone.
Each of the last 12 Bundesliga meetings between these two sides has seen a victory for one team or the other, but as there is little separate them this time around, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
