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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
FL
Augsburg
1 - 2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Freiburg

A fairly common result for both of these sides this season has been a 1-1 draw, so that is what we are predicting for it to finish on Saturday. Freiburg could well nick it, but it is unlikely to be an open and high scoring encounter between two sides relatively quiet on the goals front at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
32.67%24.84%42.48%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93%62.07%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41%54.59%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.67%
    Freiburg 42.49%
    Draw 24.84%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.49%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen65102061416
2Stuttgart65011971215
3Bayern MunichBayern64202061414
4Borussia DortmundDortmund6420126614
5RB Leipzig64111661013
6Hoffenheim6402139412
7Wolfsburg640296312
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt614145-17
9Heidenheim62131013-37
10Freiburg5212510-57
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin6204910-16
12Werder Bremen5203810-26
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach61231114-35
14Augsburg5122913-45
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum6033519-143
16FC Koln6015411-71
17SV Darmstadt 985014616-101
18Mainz 05Mainz6015417-131
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