Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
