We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Juventude
Both sides have been hot and cold in recent weeks as they both tend to do just enough to win once in a while, so we expect that both sides would be content with a point, knowing that it would keep each of them above the relegation line heading into the final round of matches next Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.05%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
