Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
