Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
