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Jun 16, 2022 at 10pm UK at Estadio Palestra Italia
Palmeiras
4 - 2
Atletico GO
Rafael (42'), Gomez (44', 45+4'), Scarpa (45')
Danilo (23'), Rafael (50')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Churin (29', 79')
Churin (39')
Henrique (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Atletico Goianiense

Atletico GO will certainly be feeling good about themselves after back-to-back wins, but we are finding it difficult to back against Palmeiras here due to their strong form. The hosts should have too much for their opponents, and we are expecting them to keep another clean sheet in a two-goal success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.02%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Goianiense
72.77% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 17.71% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06) 9.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 41.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43% (0.122 0.12)46.57% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (0.112 0.11)68.85% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.058000000000007 0.06)11.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.95% (0.125 0.13)36.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)86.49% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 72.76%
    Atletico Goianiense 9.52%
    Draw 17.71%
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Goianiense
2-0 @ 14.17%
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.59% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 72.76%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 17.71%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.52%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Juventude 0-3 Palmeiras
Saturday, May 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, June 5 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Atletico GO
Tuesday, May 31 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, May 21 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras30199252203266
2InternacionalInternacional311512448282057
3Corinthians3115973830854
4FlamengoFlamengo31157950292152
5Fluminense311561048381051
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3113993736148
7Atletico Mineiro31121183832647
8America MineiroAmerica Mineiro31136122930-145
9Botafogo31127123234-243
10FortalezaFortaleza31118123232041
11Sao Paulo3091384133840
12BragantinoBragantino31911114141038
13GoiasGoias31911113340-738
14SantosSantos30910113228437
15Coritiba30104163148-1734
16CearaCeara31615102832-433
17Cuiaba3179152334-1130
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3077163047-1728
19Avai3177172849-2128
20JuventudeJuventude30311162353-3020
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