Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
