Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
