SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | America Mineiro | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Flamengo | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | America Mineiro | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 8.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | America Mineiro |
73.59% ( 0.08) | 17.63% ( -0.18) | 8.77% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.2% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( 1.08) | 48.51% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.98) | 70.64% ( -0.97) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( 0.33) | 11.67% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.27% ( 0.7) | 36.73% ( -0.7) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.37% ( 0.93) | 55.63% ( -0.93) |
