We said: Cuiaba 1-2 Ceara
As their struggle to score goals with any regularity goes on, Cuiaba could come up short again this weekend against a Ceara side who have been tough to beat, if not prolific themselves.
The visitors will therefore stretch their advantage over their hosts to six points and edge further up the congested Serie A table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
