Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
