MX23RW : Saturday, November 5 20:41:57
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Saturday, November 5
Nov 25, 2021 at 11pm UK at Castelao
Ceara
2 - 1
Corinthians
Vinicius (6'), Gonzalez (87')
Sobral (21'), Ricardo (90+2'), Kelvyn (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guedes (84')
Queiroz (26'), Gabriel (45'), Ramos (63'), Fagner (75')

We said: Ceara 1-1 Corinthians

Corinthians seem to get overwhelmed when playing on the road, lacking that quality in the final third, but they do not allow a lot of good scoring opportunities which is also the case for Ceara, so we expect to see a pragmatic approach from both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawCorinthians
49.81%27%23.19%
Both teams to score 44.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5%59.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14%79.86%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.31%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97%78.03%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 49.8%
    Corinthians 23.19%
    Draw 26.99%
CearaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.23%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.8%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 23.19%

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