We said: Ceara 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Ceara will head into this contest in high spirits due to their impressive unbeaten run of form, although the visitors are considered the slight favourites to claim maximum points.
Only one draw has been played out in the last eight meetings between these two teams, but with little to separate them on this occasion, the spoils could be shared at the Castelao.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.06) 
-0.09) 
