We said: Botafogo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo are the more talented side, although the majority of their attacks filter through Calleri, and they have yet to prove that they can consistently maintain their composure at the back when leading.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
35.55% ( -0.01) | 27.28% ( -0) | 37.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( 0.01) |
| 44.49% ( 0.01) | 55.5% ( -0.01) |
| 23.31% ( 0.01) | 76.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0) | 65.85% ( -0) |
| 71.21% ( 0.01) | 28.79% ( -0.01) |
