Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
